North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 21

Published 5:19 pm Monday, January 20, 2025

Tuesday’s contest at Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum has the North Carolina Tar Heels (12-7, 5-2 ACC) taking on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (14-4, 6-1 ACC) at 9:00 PM (on January 21). Our computer prediction projects a 76-71 victory for North Carolina, who is a slight favorite based on our model.

Based on our computer prediction, North Carolina is projected to cover the spread (1.5) versus Wake Forest. The two teams are projected to come in below the 147.5 total.

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North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Tuesday, January 21, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Winston-Salem, North Carolina
  • Venue: Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum
  • Line: North Carolina -1.5
  • Point total: 147.5
  • Moneyline (to win): North Carolina -115, Wake Forest -104

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North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    North Carolina 76, Wake Forest 71

Spread & Total Prediction for North Carolina vs. Wake Forest

  • Pick ATS: North Carolina (-1.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (147.5)

North Carolina has gone 7-12-0 against the spread, while Wake Forest’s ATS record this season is 8-10-0. The Tar Heels have hit the over in nine games, while Demon Deacons games have gone over seven times. The two teams score 153.2 points per game, 5.7 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 contests, North Carolina has a 4-6 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall. Wake Forest has gone 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 matches.

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North Carolina Performance Insights

  • The Tar Heels’ +123 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 6.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 82.3 points per game (32nd in college basketball) while giving up 75.8 per outing (292nd in college basketball).
  • North Carolina comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 1.2 boards. It is collecting 34.7 rebounds per game (78th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 33.5 per contest.
  • North Carolina connects on 7.3 three-pointers per game (229th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.1. It shoots 32.6% from deep while its opponents hit 31.9% from long range.
  • The Tar Heels rank 86th in college basketball with 100.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 197th in college basketball defensively with 92.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • North Carolina forces 10.8 turnovers per game (271st in college basketball) while committing 10.7 (109th in college basketball play).

Wake Forest Performance Insights

  • The Demon Deacons put up 70.9 points per game (271st in college basketball) while giving up 65.7 per contest (42nd in college basketball). They have a +94 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 5.2 points per game.
  • The 30.3 rebounds per game Wake Forest accumulates rank 302nd in college basketball, 1.1 fewer than the 31.4 its opponents grab.
  • Wake Forest hits 1.7 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 6.2 (324th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.9.
  • Wake Forest has committed 11 turnovers per game (133rd in college basketball), 2.8 fewer than the 13.8 it forces (45th in college basketball).

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